By Mahdavi Nasim

French Foreign Minister Jean-Yves Le drian, who traveled to Tehran to discuss Iran's missile program and Iran’s undermining policies in countries such Yemen and Syria, said that there was a gap between the two sides and added: “there is a lot of work should be done".

The French foreign minister warned on the threshold of his visit that the Islamic Republic could face new sanctions if do not pay attention to the concerns of the United States and Washington's European allies about Iran's ballistic missile program.

These days there is talk of clandestine talks with Western powers to amend the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) but on the other hand, there is a message from inside Iran that it does not accept changes in the deal, and Iran's missile power cannot be negotiated.

But what is the reality?

Mullahs have always been skilled tradesmen. They are experts in bargaining and deception. On the other hand, they act the role of good and bad cops.

Their main purpose is to deceive and earn more time until the Trump’s government is changed, or the United States is busy with other issues so that the regime of Iran find an opportunity to dodge the pressures. So the Iranian regime has not announced firmly that is it going to negotiate or not. Some play the role of a good cop and say that we benefit talking and part of them reject negotiations.

Do Ali Khamenei, the Supreme Leader and military officials, accept new talks or not?

With a look at the history of the nuclear talks between the Iranian regime, and the 5+1, it can be realized that on that time the common estimation was that Ali Khamenei would not allow the negotiating team to stop the nuclear program. But when sanctions put on Iran's regime in an economic pressures, Khamenei said he ordered negotiation over the nuclear program before Rouhani’s taking office.

The recent status quo has brought Khamenei to a fatal stalemated position

, because if he negotiates, he has to restrict his missile program، abandon interference in other countries, such as Syria, Lebanon, and Yemen, halt the support of terrorist groups such as Hezbollah in Lebanon and Iraqi militants and Houthis in Yemen. In this case, the Iranian regime cannot show off as being a major power in the region and threaten the region with missile displays.

The contrary, if the Iranian regime does not accept negotiations on its missile program, interventions in the region, supporting terrorist groups, and amending the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), In the first step, the United States will come to end the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, then severe economic sanctions will be resumed against the Iranian regime which can severely isolate and weaken it.

But it is should be kept in mind that the Iranian regime haggles in order to pay a lower price. The regime is already under economic pressure, on the other hand, the Iranian people rose up to protest against the dire economic condition and corrupt political situation which made Iran's regime much weaker.

Therefore, Western governments should not be deceived by the saber-rattling of the Iranian regime, what’s important is that the mullah’s regime surrenders to real pressure right away because the Mullahs' first priority is preserving their regime.

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