{"id":18811,"date":"2020-10-14T18:12:55","date_gmt":"2020-10-14T16:12:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/iranfreedom.org\/en\/?p=18811"},"modified":"2020-10-14T18:12:57","modified_gmt":"2020-10-14T16:12:57","slug":"online-conference-an-effective-iran-policy-sanctions-or-no-sanctions-october-14-2020","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/iranfreedom.org\/en\/activities-outside-iran\/2020\/10\/online-conference-an-effective-iran-policy-sanctions-or-no-sanctions-october-14-2020\/18811\/","title":{"rendered":"Online Conference: An Effective Iran Policy, Sanctions or No Sanctions? October 14, 2020"},"content":{"rendered":"<!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC \"-\/\/W3C\/\/DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional\/\/EN\" \"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/TR\/REC-html40\/loose.dtd\">\n<!--?xml encoding=\"UTF-8\"--><html><body><p>On October 14, 2020, the National Council of Resistance of Iran(<a href=\"https:\/\/iranfreedom.org\/en\/national-council-of-resistance-of-iran\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">NCRI<\/a>) \u2013 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/NCRIUS\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">US Representative Office<\/a>, held an online conference. The conference was under the title, \u201cAn Effective Iran Policy: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.iranfocus.com\/en\/component\/tags\/tag\/iran-sanctions\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Sanctions <\/a>or No Sanctions?\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In this critical online event, American dignitaries taking part and discussed on an effective Iran policy.<br>This issue becomes necessary as protests across Iran are increasing gradually as the coronavirus outbreak takes more lives in unprecedented numbers, and senior regime officials are warning of an uprising in the not so distant future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In four days, the conventional arms embargo is no longer there, and the regime will be able to buy all the arms it wants. Wednesday, October 14, regime President Hassan Rouhani said that the \u201ccruel arms embargo would be removed\u201d. He added, they will be able to \u201csell weapons to everyone we wish\u201d and \u201cbuy weapons from anyone we wish.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Regarding the sanctions against the mullahs\u2019 regime, the position of the Iranian people is quite clear. They have repeatedly chanted slogans in nationwide protests; Leave Syria, think about us, and another saying, \u201cOur enemy is right here. They\u2019re lying when they say it\u2019s America.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed-twitter wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">We've started \u2013 Follow close!<br>.<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/NCRIUS?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@NCRIUS<\/a> HOLDS <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/LIVE?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#LIVE<\/a> VIRTUAL BRIEFING | An Effective <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a> Policy: Sanctions or No Sanctions?<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/IranSanctions?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#IranSanctions<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/ZPUbUvTh46\">https:\/\/t.co\/ZPUbUvTh46<\/a><\/p>\u2014 Iran Freedom (@4FreedominIran) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/4FreedominIran\/status\/1316394230588243974?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 14, 2020<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The report of the speeches of the personalities participating in the conference is as follows.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Alireza Jafarzadeh \u2013 Deputy Director of the U.S. Representative Office of the National Council of Resistance of Iran (NCRI)<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"621\" height=\"352\" src=\"https:\/\/iranfreedom.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Alireza-Jafarzadeh.jpg\" alt=\"Alireza Jafarzadeh - Deputy Director of the U.S. Representative Office of the National Council of Resistance of Iran (NCRI)\" class=\"wp-image-18812\" onerror=\"this.src='https:\/\/iranfreedom.org\/en\/wp-content\/themes\/hello-elementor\/images\/broken-image-placeholder.gif';this.srcset='https:\/\/iranfreedom.org\/en\/wp-content\/themes\/hello-elementor\/images\/broken-image-placeholder.gif';\" srcset=\"https:\/\/iranfreedom.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Alireza-Jafarzadeh.jpg 621w, https:\/\/iranfreedom.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Alireza-Jafarzadeh-300x170.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 621px) 100vw, 621px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>In four days, the conventional arms embargo is no longer there and the regime will be able to buy all the arms it wants. This morning regime President Hassan Rouhani said that this coming Sunday the \u201ccruel arms embargo will be removed,\u201d adding they will be able to \u201csell weapons to everyone we wish\u201d and \u201cbuy weapons from anyone we wish.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>When it comes to the people of Iran, their message is clear: They want to overthrow the regime. They have been saying \u201cour enemy is right here in Iran, not in America.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Amb. Eric Edelman \u2013 Former Under Secretary of Defense for Policy<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"616\" height=\"345\" src=\"https:\/\/iranfreedom.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Amb.-Eric-Edelman.jpg\" alt=\"Amb. Eric Edelman - Former Under Secretary of Defense for Policy\" class=\"wp-image-18815\" onerror=\"this.src='https:\/\/iranfreedom.org\/en\/wp-content\/themes\/hello-elementor\/images\/broken-image-placeholder.gif';this.srcset='https:\/\/iranfreedom.org\/en\/wp-content\/themes\/hello-elementor\/images\/broken-image-placeholder.gif';\" srcset=\"https:\/\/iranfreedom.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Amb.-Eric-Edelman.jpg 616w, https:\/\/iranfreedom.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Amb.-Eric-Edelman-300x168.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 616px) 100vw, 616px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Sanctions are a clearly important element of a successful policy toward Iran. But sanctions alone are not going to be enough to get the right outcome. The expiration of the arms embargo highlights some of the weaknesses of the 2015 nuclear deal, known as the JCPOA.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Those of us who said the snapback will not be a self-executing mechanism turned out to be right. We also need to focus on making sure Tehran is isolated. We must address a whole range of issues that the regime is causing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Secretary Pompeo highlighted 12 desiderata in his speech at the Heritage Foundation. It includes the regime\u2019s terrorism activities and funding of terrorist groups. I also want to highlight the regime\u2019s human rights abuses and its corruption. We must draw attention to specific instances of the regime\u2019s corruption.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There have been explosions of dissent in late 2017, early 2018 and after the shooting down of the Ukrainian airplane. There\u2019s also disquiet over the regime\u2019s corrupt mismanagement of the Covid-19 situation.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We must try to find mechanisms to bring dissidents together. We must help the opposition to the regime reach critical mass. We need to support trade unions like in 1979. We\u2019ve seen strikes by steel workers, teachers, sugar cane workers in the past years. We need to support these movements.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We also need to retool our public diplomacy to highlight regime corruption and also highlight that human rights abusers will be held accountable. We also need to increase our broadcasting. We must complicate the regime\u2019s task to shut down dissident voices in Iran.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Dr. James Jay Carafano \u2013 Director of the Douglas and Sarah Allison Center for Foreign Policy Studies<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"615\" height=\"343\" src=\"https:\/\/iranfreedom.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Dr.-James-Jay-Carafano.jpg\" alt=\"Dr. James Jay Carafano - Director of the Douglas and Sarah Allison Center for Foreign Policy Studies and Vice President of the Kathryn and Shelby Cullom Davis Institute for International Studies at The Heritage Foundation.\" class=\"wp-image-18818\" onerror=\"this.src='https:\/\/iranfreedom.org\/en\/wp-content\/themes\/hello-elementor\/images\/broken-image-placeholder.gif';this.srcset='https:\/\/iranfreedom.org\/en\/wp-content\/themes\/hello-elementor\/images\/broken-image-placeholder.gif';\" srcset=\"https:\/\/iranfreedom.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Dr.-James-Jay-Carafano.jpg 615w, https:\/\/iranfreedom.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Dr.-James-Jay-Carafano-300x167.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 615px) 100vw, 615px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Why does the U.S. care? Why are we involved in Iran? We have global interests and responsibilities. We have to defend those interests and meet those responsibilities.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There are three things that link us to the world: Western Europe, the greater Middle East, and the Indo-Pacific. We want these areas to be peaceful and prosperous, where instability and terrorism don\u2019t dominate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In the Greater Middle East, the U.S. recognizes the regime in Iran is the greatest threat to peace and stability. On the nuclear issue it\u2019s not just about whether Iran will be a nuclear power, but if it does, there will be other countries. It could become a global threat. That\u2019s why Iran\u2019s nuclear program is a global threat. Other issues such as terrorism and support for terrorist groups are twin challenges that we must deal with.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The U.S. sanctions are meant to deal with these threats. They\u2019re a component of a strategy. The sanctions have been very effective. What this administration would like to do is to sanction Iran as long as it takes to get them to stop doing what they\u2019re doing to destabilize the region and the world.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This administration also wants to create an alliance that stands against the regime\u2019s destabilizing activities in the region. This is beyond sanctions and puts additional pressure on the regime.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This administration\u2019s commitment to sanctions is deep. They recognize it\u2019s not punishing the people. There are humanitarian exemptions. And if the regime was really thinking about the people, they could take the money they\u2019re spending on terrorism and missiles and take care of the people. If they did that, there would be no need for sanctions in the first place. Most Iranians understand that: They\u2019re not being punished by the United States and the international community\u2014they\u2019re being punished by the regime.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sanctions are not a strategy but they are a vital component to keep pressure on the regime, not just to punish them but also to limit their capacity to pose threats to the rest of the world.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Jonathan Ruhe \u2013 JINSA Director of Foreign Policy<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"620\" height=\"346\" src=\"https:\/\/iranfreedom.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Jonathan-Ruhe.jpg\" alt=\"Jonathan Ruhe - JINSA Director of Foreign Policy\" class=\"wp-image-18820\" onerror=\"this.src='https:\/\/iranfreedom.org\/en\/wp-content\/themes\/hello-elementor\/images\/broken-image-placeholder.gif';this.srcset='https:\/\/iranfreedom.org\/en\/wp-content\/themes\/hello-elementor\/images\/broken-image-placeholder.gif';\" srcset=\"https:\/\/iranfreedom.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Jonathan-Ruhe.jpg 620w, https:\/\/iranfreedom.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Jonathan-Ruhe-300x167.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 620px) 100vw, 620px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>We have to start what Iran\u2019s nuclear program is. This is a nuclear weapons program, not a nuclear energy program. Iran is in violation of its commitment under the NPT. This is a treaty against the proliferation of nuclear weapons. It doesn\u2019t guarantee what Iran claims is its \u201cright\u201d to enrich uranium. Iran already has what the NPT promises, which is access to nuclear energy. As we all know, Iran has enrichment facilities, which were created in secret and violation of the NPT.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If you crunch the numbers, it\u2019s uneconomical for Iran to have these facilities. It already has gas and oil to produce power. All the costs it has incurred to develop these facilities make even less sense why it would create them. Long before the nuclear deal Iran was in violation of the NPT because it was looking to develop nuclear weapons, which led to six United Nations Security Council-led sanctions against Iran.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Iran has an array of nuclear-capable ballistic missiles. In history every country that has developed intercontinental ballistic missiles has put nuclear warheads on top of them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The nuclear weapons program is still intact and is inching closer to developing those weapons. Iran has progressively been committing violations of the deal. Iran right now is enriching more uranium than the JCPOA allowed, including enriching at Fordow, which was prohibited under the JCPOA.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Iran has been working on advanced centrifuges. Once it can deploy them, it will be a game-changer for their weapons program. This one is not reversible.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Whoever the next administration is, there are some key flaws in the JCPOA that need to be addressed. JINSA\u2019s ultimate goal is what we call \u201cregime collapse.\u201d This is primarily between the regime and the people. Sanctions and more concerted pressure is needed.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Amb. Robert Joseph \u2013 Senior scholar at the National Institute for Public Policy and Professor at Missouri State University<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"548\" height=\"319\" src=\"https:\/\/iranfreedom.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Amb.-Robert-Joseph.jpg\" alt=\"Amb. Robert Joseph - Senior scholar at the National Institute for Public Policy and Professor at Missouri State University\" class=\"wp-image-18822\" onerror=\"this.src='https:\/\/iranfreedom.org\/en\/wp-content\/themes\/hello-elementor\/images\/broken-image-placeholder.gif';this.srcset='https:\/\/iranfreedom.org\/en\/wp-content\/themes\/hello-elementor\/images\/broken-image-placeholder.gif';\" srcset=\"https:\/\/iranfreedom.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Amb.-Robert-Joseph.jpg 548w, https:\/\/iranfreedom.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Amb.-Robert-Joseph-300x175.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 548px) 100vw, 548px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>We can all agree that we are at a critical crossroads that will shape the region\u2019s environment for a time to come. It\u2019s disappointing but not surprising. The situation with Iran is complex, but shows how three successive administrations have failed to stop Iran from acquiring the means to obtain nuclear weapons and become a threshold state. Iran is an even greater threat than North Korea because of its support of terrorism. Iran\u2019s nuclear weapons program threatens to ignite a regional arms race in the region.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We can and should learn from our failures. From the past decades we should have learned from our experience: This is not a regime that has good faith in negotiations. You can negotiate and come to an agreement as we saw in 2015. But the regime cheated on every commitment it has made to the international community. The regime will not abandon its nuclear program and will try to keep a path to sneak toward nuclear weapons.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The regime will also not become more moderate. Since its foundation, the regime has used terrorist acts against its opponents. A terrorist-official of the regime was caught red-handed as he was handing over explosives to accomplices who wanted to blow up an NCRI gathering in Paris. Belgian authorities were concerned that the attack could cause massive casualties. The jailed agent has threatened even more deaths if he is convicted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This regime has also lost all legitimacy with its people. The people pose the greatest threat to the regime. The killing of 1,500 protesters in November 2019 was an act of desperation. This regime cannot reform. It survives only through brutal repression. It will not change no matter how we hope.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The policy of maximum pressure is the best policy to prevent the regime from carrying out terrorist acts, threaten its neighbors and suppress its people. We in the international community should be doubling down on sanctions and other means of pressure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Support for democracy and human rights is vital, expression of support for those inside Iran who seek democracy. They add to the pressure on the regime. We must tell the truth about the regime\u2019s crimes against humanity. We must support the democratic opposition inside and outside Iran. Regime change must and will come from within. While apologists try to spin that the current regime is the only alternative to chaos, the ten-point plan of the NCRI provides a pathway to democracy and stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We must not throw the regime a lifeline that will only extend its terrorism and its nuclear breakout. The central problem is not the absence of negotiations or the absence of an agreement. More agreements will only lead to more aggression and more brutality. The central problem is the regime itself, which will never abandon its support for terrorism and aggression. The people of Iran will choose their future. Our policies will impede or help that choice.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Many Iranians and supporters of the NCRI joined the Conference<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/iranfreedom.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Iran-opposition-online-event.jpg\" alt=\"A large number of people joined the NCRI online event discussing an effective policy vis-a-vis the regime ruling Iran\u2014October 14, 2020\" class=\"wp-image-18817\" width=\"643\" height=\"365\" onerror=\"this.src='https:\/\/iranfreedom.org\/en\/wp-content\/themes\/hello-elementor\/images\/broken-image-placeholder.gif';this.srcset='https:\/\/iranfreedom.org\/en\/wp-content\/themes\/hello-elementor\/images\/broken-image-placeholder.gif';\" srcset=\"https:\/\/iranfreedom.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Iran-opposition-online-event.jpg 618w, https:\/\/iranfreedom.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Iran-opposition-online-event-300x170.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 643px) 100vw, 643px\" \/><figcaption>A large number of people joined the NCRI online event discussing an effective policy vis-\u00e0-vis the regime ruling Iran\u2014October 14, 2020<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>A large number of people joined the NCRI online event discussing an effective policy vis-\u00e0-vis the regime ruling Iran.<\/p>\n<\/body><\/html>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>On October 14, 2020, the National Council of Resistance of Iran(NCRI) \u2013 US Representative Office, held an online conference. The conference was under the title, \u201cAn Effective Iran Policy: Sanctions or No Sanctions?\u201d In this critical online event, American dignitaries taking part and discussed on an effective Iran policy.This issue becomes necessary as protests across [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":18825,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"pgc_sgb_lightbox_settings":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[12,17],"tags":[35,625,533,610],"class_list":["post-18811","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-activities-outside-iran","category-articles","tag-iran","tag-iran-policy","tag-ncri-us","tag-online-conference"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Online Conference: An Effective Iran Policy, Sanctions or No Sanctions? 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