{"id":21321,"date":"2021-03-01T07:00:03","date_gmt":"2021-03-01T06:00:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/iranfreedom.org\/en\/?p=21321"},"modified":"2021-02-27T17:28:42","modified_gmt":"2021-02-27T16:28:42","slug":"is-irans-regime-5-months-away-from-a-nuclear-weapon","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/iranfreedom.org\/en\/articles\/2021\/03\/is-irans-regime-5-months-away-from-a-nuclear-weapon\/21321\/","title":{"rendered":"Is Iran\u2019s Regime 5 Months Away from a Nuclear Weapon?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Is Ali Khamenei<\/a>, the Iranian regime\u2019s supreme leader, five months away from building a nuclear bomb? Analysis of the IAEA Monitoring and Verification Report of February 2021 indicates that Iran\u2019s regime is only five months away from two atomic bombs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The website of the Institute for Science and International Security<\/a> wrote on February 25, 2021, in a report by David Albright, Sarah Burkhard, and Andrea Stricker: \u201cIran\u2019s nuclear escape time in February 2021 has been reduced to 3.1 months. The Iranian government now has less than 5 percent enriched uranium at the weapons level for the second nuclear weapon<\/a>, which produces a second bomb faster than the first. \u201cIn total, it takes only five months to produce enough uranium (WGU) for two bombs.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Institute for Science and International Security wrote: This report assesses the information in the quarterly report of The Protocol of Accession of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) on February 23, 2021, and the verification and monitoring in the Islamic Republic of Iran in connection with UN Security Council Resolution 2231, including Iran\u2019s compliance with the IAEA Board.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The IAEA released the report on the day the Iranian regime announced it would suspend implementation of the Additional Protocol to the Comprehensive Safeguards Agreement (CSA), a step forward in nuclear development.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rafael Grossi, the IAEA Director General, traveled to Tehran last weekend, and the Iranian regime agreed to continue implementing the Additional Protocol for a limited number of verification and monitoring activities for three months and to comply with its safeguards, including the IAEA inspection and IAEA access arrangements at any site in Iran.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Summary of nuclear breakout time estimates<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

1. The Iranian government has started enriching uranium to 20% since January 4, 2021.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

2. The Iranian government has produced 3.6 grams of uranium metal from natural uranium fluoride at the fuel plate manufacturing complex in Isfahan and tested the uranium metal production process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

3. Iranian-style enriched uranium has often gone too far. On February 16, 2021, it reached 4390.2 kg, almost all of which was enriched below 5%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

4. Iran has 17.6 kg of 20% enriched uranium.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The breakout time of the Iranian government was reduced to 5 months<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

5. Monthly production of light uranium increased by 5% from 146.7 kg per month in February 2021 to 205.5 kg per month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

6. Iran\u2019s nuclear breakout time in February 2021 has been reduced to 3.1 months. Iran now has less than 5 percent enriched uranium at the level of uranium production at the weapons level for the second nuclear weapon, the second bomb being produced faster than the first bomb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

7. Iran\u2019s total estimated capacity in Natanz and Fordow from 6963 separate work units (SWU) per year to 8258 SWU has reached the year in current centrifuges. That is, it has increased by 20%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Uranium\u2019s enrich has tripled compared to JCPOA<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

8. The current enrichment capacity in Natanz Fuel Enrichment Complex and in Fordow Complex without considering Natanz Pilot Fuel Enrichment Complex to 6744 SWU And has arrived in the year. If Iran has a set of advanced centrifuges that it is currently installing, its total capacity will be about 12,900 SWU arrives annually, which is three times the legal limit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

9. The amount of heavy water in Iran until February 15, 2021, was 131.4 metric tons. Which is higher than the limit of JCPOA<\/a>, i.e., 130 metric tons. Iran has also transported 5.4 metric tons of heavy water abroad.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

10. Iran has not pursued the reconstruction of the Arak Reactor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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