{"id":32750,"date":"2022-03-28T01:00:40","date_gmt":"2022-03-27T23:00:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/iranfreedom.org\/en\/?p=32750"},"modified":"2022-03-28T08:56:08","modified_gmt":"2022-03-28T06:56:08","slug":"ncri-us-online-conference-policy-experts-to-assess-tehrans-threat-prospects-for-change-in-iran","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/iranfreedom.org\/en\/activities-outside-iran\/2022\/03\/ncri-us-online-conference-policy-experts-to-assess-tehrans-threat-prospects-for-change-in-iran\/32750\/","title":{"rendered":"NCRI-US Online Conference: Policy Experts to Assess Tehran&#8217;s Threat, Prospects for Change in Iran"},"content":{"rendered":"<!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC \"-\/\/W3C\/\/DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional\/\/EN\" \"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/TR\/REC-html40\/loose.dtd\">\n<!--?xml encoding=\"UTF-8\"--><html><body><figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/iranfreedom.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/NCRI-US-Online-Conference-March-25-2022.jpg\" alt=\"NCRI-US Online Conference in Washington, DC - March 25, 2022\" class=\"wp-image-32753\" width=\"840\" height=\"470\" onerror=\"this.src='https:\/\/iranfreedom.org\/en\/wp-content\/themes\/hello-elementor\/images\/broken-image-placeholder.gif';this.srcset='https:\/\/iranfreedom.org\/en\/wp-content\/themes\/hello-elementor\/images\/broken-image-placeholder.gif';\" srcset=\"https:\/\/iranfreedom.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/NCRI-US-Online-Conference-March-25-2022.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/iranfreedom.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/NCRI-US-Online-Conference-March-25-2022-300x168.jpg 300w, https:\/\/iranfreedom.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/NCRI-US-Online-Conference-March-25-2022-768x430.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 840px) 100vw, 840px\" \/><figcaption><em><sub>NCRI-US Online Conference in Washington, DC \u2013 March 25, 2022<\/sub><\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Washington, DC, March 25, 2022:<\/strong> The online conference held by the U.S. Representative Office of the National Council of Resistance of Iran (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncrius.org\/ncrius-office.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">NCRI-US<\/a>). The conference was about the threats of the Iranian regime and the prospects for change in Iran. Prominent political figures, former officials and experts from intellectual banks attended the conference.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">\ud83d\udd36 Watch NCRI-US Online Conference:<br>\ud83d\udd37 Policy Experts to Assess Tehran's Threat, Prospects for Change in Iran<br>\ud83d\udd37 Iranians\u2019 Aspirations for Freedom and Democracy in the New Iranian Year<br>\u25b6\ufe0f WHEN: Friday, March 25, 2022, 11:00 am EDT<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Iran<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/ViennaTalks?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#ViennaTalks<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/EvmfXZOaMd\">https:\/\/t.co\/EvmfXZOaMd<\/a><\/p>\u2014 NCRI-U.S. Rep Office (@NCRIUS) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/NCRIUS\/status\/1506365237909405702?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 22, 2022<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The following is the report of the conference and the full video, which published <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncrius.org\/policy-experts-assess-tehrans-threat-prospects-for-change-in-iran.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">on the website<\/a> of the U.S. Representative Office of the National Council of Resistance of Iran (NCRI-US):<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Iranians\u2019 Aspirations for Freedom and Democracy in the New Iranian Year<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Washington, DC, March 25, 2022 \u2013<\/strong>\u00a0To celebrate the ancient Nowruz and the beginning of the Iranian New Year, the U.S. Representative Office of the National Council of Resistance of Iran (NCRI-US) held an online conference on\u00a0Friday, March 25, 2022, to discuss Iran\u2019s growing internal unrests, Tehran\u2019s nuclear defiance and regional aggression, the regime\u2019s support for the invasion of Ukraine, and prospects for fundamental change in Iran.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Distinguished policy and national security figures discussed a framework for an Iran policy aimed at neutralizing Tehran\u2019s malign conduct and in support of the Iranian people\u2019s aspirations for freedom and democracy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Mr. Alireza Jafarzadeh\u2019s Opening Remarks<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>Mr. Jafarzadeh welcomed the guests and outlined the main themes of the conference: \u201cToday, we intend to discuss the state of the Iranian regime, its weaknesses, and vulnerabilities, the state of protests, and the desire of the Iranian people for change. We will look at the behavior of the Iranian regime to include its nuclear weapons program, its missile and UAV program, its support for proxy terror groups, its role in supporting the invasion of Ukraine by siding with the unjust war there. And finally, what the U.S. policy should be in countering all of these problems, but also in helping the people of Iran to achieve freedom, the same way that the people of Ukraine are fighting for their freedom from occupation, invasion, and bombings.\u201d Full remarks of Mr. Jafarzadeh are available\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncrius.org\/the-state-of-the-iranian-regime-its-weaknesses-and-vulnerabilities-the-state-of-protests-and-the-desire-of-the-iranian-people-for-change.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">here<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Conference\u2019s Guest Speakers<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>Excerpts from each of the guest speaker\u2019s remarks are presented below, along with a link to the full text of their speech.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Hon. Michael Mukasey, 81st Attorney General of the United States<\/strong>: \u201cI submit to you that removing the IRGC from the list of foreign terrorist organizations would actually be even worse than not having placed the organization on the list in the first place. As a practical matter, being on the list exposes people and entities that deal with the IRGC to financial and even criminal penalties under U.S. law.\u201d\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncrius.org\/removing-the-irgc-from-the-list-of-foreign-terrorist-organizations-is-worse-than-not-having-placed-the-organization-on-the-list-says-former-ag-michael-mukasey.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">READ MORE\u2026<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Amb. Paula Dobriansky, former Under Secretary of State for Global Affairs<\/strong>: \u201cThe Iranian regime continues severe repression of the Iranian people. Iranians who seek economic rights, fight corruption as we know, and have protested the brutal regime, have been persecuted, they\u2019ve been imprisoned, and sometimes executed as well.\u201d\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncrius.org\/former-under-secretary-of-state-for-global-affairs-amb-paula-dobriansky-the-iranian-regime-continues-severe-repression-of-the-iranian-people.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">READ MORE\u2026<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Ms. Soona Samsami, U.S. Representative, National Council of Resistance of Iran<\/strong>: \u201cRaisi has failed. Last year, Iran was on the scene of major anti-regime uprisings every four months by the farmer, workers, teachers, nurses, defrauded investors, steelworkers, and fuel porters. This was coupled with the expanding activities of the Resistance Units, a nationwide network of mostly young activists affiliated with the MEK.\u201d\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncrius.org\/iranian-society-is-like-a-powder-keg-ready-to-erupt-with-the-slightest-spark-says-soona-samsami.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">READ MORE\u2026<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Hon. Robert G. Torricelli, former Democratic Senator from New Jersey<\/strong>: \u201cAnd so, my message for this Nowruz would be the world see us in the same light. And as the administration negotiates with Tehran, mullahs insisting that the Revolutionary Guard be lifted from the terrorist list, we resoundingly say no. What has changed? How is the Revolutionary Guard any less terrorist today than they were yesterday or when they were killing American soldiers in Iraq? How are they less terrorist?\u201d\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncrius.org\/iranian-society-is-like-a-powder-keg-ready-to-erupt-with-the-slightest-spark-says-soona-samsami.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">READ MORE\u2026<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Hon. David Shedd, former Acting Director, Defense Intelligence Agency<\/strong>: \u201cWhen I think of the U.S. policy of delisting them, \u2026 American lives that have been lost or maimed in the war in Iraq, Khobar Towers, and I could go on in terms of Syria and elsewhere, where the IRGC has actively engaged in terrorist acts against the American people as well, \u2026 what kind of message does this send to other nations that might use as an instrument of national power the role or the aspects of terrorism as a means for either staying in power or promoting their interests abroad.\u201d\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncrius.org\/the-irgc-has-actively-engaged-in-terrorist-acts-against-the-american-people.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">READ MORE\u2026<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Amb. Robert G. Joseph, former Undersecretary of State for Arms Control &amp; International Security<\/strong>: \u201cYou might ask yourself, how is this even possible? We know that these are empty promises that would never be fulfilled. As others have pointed out, the IRGC is a terrorist organization. As David said, terrorism is in their DNA. \u2026 How can this administration believe that Iran would keep such commitments? How can this administration believe that rejoining the JCPOA will bring d\u00e9tente with Iran and a more stable region?\u201d\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncrius.org\/the-former-undersecretary-of-state-for-arms-control-international-security-iran-will-never-give-up-its-nuclear-weapons-program.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">READ MORE\u2026<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Amb. Joseph DeTrani, former Special Adviser to the Director of National Intelligence<\/strong>: \u201cSo, I think we have to be realistic on the geopolitical side of the equation. Iran is on a path and all indications are they will not change what they are doing with their Quds Force, they will not change with the IRGC, and they will not change what they\u2019re doing with a few of their proxies. So, I totally agree with my colleagues when they talk about taking the IRGC off the list of foreign terrorist organizations. What a message that would be, it would be profound.\u201d\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncrius.org\/a-nuclear-iran-will-have-a-devastating-consequence-for-the-region-and-the-world-says-amb-joseph-detrani.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">READ MORE\u2026<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Amb. Mitchell Reiss, former Director of Policy Planning at the State Department<\/strong>: \u201cSince 2018, there have been 8 major uprisings in Iran involving 200 cities and hundreds of thousands of people. The protests have continued in 2022. Resistance Units, organized by the main Iranian opposition, the MEK, and consisting of all sectors of the Iranian society, have been leading the protests and targeting symbols of repression all across Iran.\u201d READ MORE\u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Amb. Mitchell Reiss, former Director of Policy Planning at the State Department<\/strong>: \u201cSince 2018, there have been 8 major uprisings in Iran involving 200 cities and hundreds of thousands of people. The protests have continued in 2022. Resistance Units, organized by the main Iranian opposition, the MEK, and consisting of all sectors of the Iranian society, have been leading the protests and targeting symbols of repression all across Iran.\u201d\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncrius.org\/amb-mitchell-reiss-resistance-units-organized-by-the-mek-lead-the-protests-and-target-symbols-of-repression.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">READ MORE\u2026<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Amb. Lincoln Bloomfield, Jr., former U.S. Assistant Secretary of State for Political-Military Affairs<\/strong>: \u201c\u2026 Iran continues to violate international norms. The crisis in Ukraine reminds us that international norms are what we must live by in a peaceful world. So, when this is over, mark my words, it\u2019s time to have a major conversation about the return of democratic countries, the freestanding world, and groups like the NCRI, to support Madame Rajavi\u2019s 10-point plan, which is perfectly consistent with all of our values, and to stand for these things not just because it makes us feel good but because we need to push back against the deep danger of authoritarians, from Moscow to Beijing to Tehran and elsewhere. This is my hope for the new year.\u201d\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncrius.org\/former-us-assistant-secretary-of-state-iran-continues-to-violate-international-norms.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">READ MORE\u2026<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Dr. Steven Bucci, visiting fellow at The Heritage Foundation<\/strong>: \u201cWe must stop this foolishness of trying to work with the mullahs, return to operating from a position of strength and maximum sanctions, and do our best to end this horrific regime and work toward true freedom for the Iranian people.\u201d<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncrius.org\/must-deal-with-iran-from-a-position-of-strength-and-maximum-sanctions-states-the-heritage-foundation-fellow-steven-bucci.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u00a0READ MORE\u2026<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>General (ret.) Chuck F. Wald<\/strong>: \u201cI totally echo the concerns with the IRGC being taken off the terrorist list. There\u2019s no way that should be allowed to happen. \u2026 [and] the ballistic missile development and testing by the Iranians is another step that is lost in the discussion many times but is a significant issue for the United States.\u201d\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncrius.org\/the-iranian-regimes-ballistic-missile-development-and-testing-must-be-included-in-jcpoa-discussions-says-retired-general-chuck-wald.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">READ MORE\u2026<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Mr. Jonathan Ruhe, JINSA Director of Foreign Policy<\/strong>: \u201c\u2026 compared to the 2015 deal, the regime\u2019s missile and drone capabilities are much more advanced now and it can proliferate these capabilities much more effectively around the Middle East than it could in 2015 \u2026 when the original deal was agreed, Iran and its proxies used roughly 100 total projectiles in attacks around the Middle East. Most of these projectiles were simple, relatively rudimentary, unguided short-range rockets. By comparison, just last year that number was up to 750, \u2026 and these were mostly advanced, longer-range, and much more pricey drones and ballistic missiles.\u201d\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncrius.org\/jinsa-director-in-2021-iran-and-its-proxies-used-750-projectiles-in-attacks-around-the-middle-east.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">READ MORE\u2026<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Dr. Siamack Shojai, Professor of Business, William Paterson University:<\/strong>\u00a0\u201cThe Iranian people complain about the unemployment rate among youth being more than 40%. The unemployment rate among women is literally 90%. And then all the funds that have been given to this regime, even when there were no sanctions, even when there was no extreme pressure and during the previous government, Ahmadinejad\u2019s government, more than $800 million worth of oil revenue was just siphoned off without even a dime of benefit to the Iranian people\u2026 the sanctions have had nothing to do with the mismanagement and corruption that exists in Iran, which has caused economic misery among the Iranian people.\u201d\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncrius.org\/economic-professor-mismanagement-and-corruption-have-caused-economic-misery-in-iran-not-the-sanctions.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">READ MORE\u2026<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Dr. Behzad Raofi, NASA Chief Validation Engineer for Space Missions: \u201c\u2026 Iran\u2019s claim of\u00a0<\/strong>peaceful space and nuclear program is merely a front for its activities aimed to develop a nuclear weapons capability. \u2026The Fateh-110 missile has higher maneuverability than intermediate-range ballistic missile capability and was tested in November of 2015 and in 2017\u2026 clearly after JCPOA was signed in July of 2015. The U.S. considers this to be a violation of UN Security Council Resolution 2231 which calls upon Iran to not work on ballistic missiles capable of delivering nuclear weapons.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Conference Video<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe title=\"Iranians\u2019 Aspirations for Freedom and Democracy in the New Iranian Year - NCRI-US Online Conference\" width=\"800\" height=\"450\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/NnS5jB8F_UY?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n<\/body><\/html>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Washington, DC, March 25, 2022: The online conference held by the U.S. Representative Office of the National Council of Resistance of Iran (NCRI-US). The conference was about the threats of the Iranian regime and the prospects for change in Iran. Prominent political figures, former officials and experts from intellectual banks attended the conference.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":32753,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"pgc_sgb_lightbox_settings":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[12,18,1,32],"tags":[533,610],"class_list":["post-32750","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-activities-outside-iran","category-supports","category-news","category-videos","tag-ncri-us","tag-online-conference"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>NCRI-US Online Conference: Policy Experts to Assess Tehran&#039;s Threat, Prospects for Change in Iran - Iran Freedom<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Washington, DC, March 25, 2022: The online conference held by the U.S. Representative Office of the National Council of Resistance of Iran (NCRI-US). 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